9. November, 2022

Nov-22 Polish GO Market Quotes: Maintained stable price growth while at significant discounts towards EU GOs

In contrast to the soaring prices in the OTC market of EU spot GOs, the most recent indicative prices in the Polish GO market as of 8 November 2022 suggest stable growth (4%) for spot GO prices (2022 production). A reduction of 15% for 2021 vintages based on PLN value was observed, likely due to the 2021 vintage phasing out of the market. Meanwhile, forward GOs have seen minor price fluctuations between 1 to 2% due to the relatively illiquid forward market. Notably, due to the depreciation of EUR versus PLN, the price trends in EUR shows increases for current-year GOs (+7%) and all forward GOs (+0.5% to +4.5%) with decreases for 2021 vintage (-13%). Moreover, the premium between EU and Polish GOs continues to grow, especially for GOs of production from 2022 to 2024.

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