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Fuels market intelligence

Track renewable fuel prices, supply development, demand drivers, and regulatory costs across biomethane and maritime fuel markets.

Veyt helps market participants assess fuel availability, certificate value, infrastructure readiness, compliance costs, and long-term demand across European biomethane and global maritime fuel markets.

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Explore Veyt fuels market intelligence

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Renewable fuel markets are shaped by policy, production costs, infrastructure, certificate systems, transport demand, and compliance frameworks.

Biomethane and maritime fuel markets are developing from different starting points. Biomethane is shaped by production capacity, gas GO systems, certificate pricing, transport demand, and national support schemes. Maritime fuels are shaped by vessel technology, bunkering infrastructure, alternative fuel availability, and regulation under FuelEU Maritime, EU ETS, and IMO frameworks.

Veyt combines market data, policy analysis, fuel cost modelling, infrastructure tracking, and long-term demand forecasts to support procurement, compliance, investment, and market strategy.

Clients rely on Veyt to:

  • Track biomethane prices, certificate values, trades, and auctions
  • Monitor biomethane production, potential, installations, and gas GO frameworks
  • Assess maritime fuel costs including bunker, EU ETS, and FuelEU impacts
  • Track alternative fuel infrastructure, vessel adoption, and orderbook demand
  • Compare long-term fuel demand and compliance pathways across fuel types

Market Coverage

Key market dynamics
  • Biofuel prices vary by fuel type, feedstock, and market location
  • Road transport demand is shaped by filling station availability and quota systems
  • Aviation demand is influenced by ReFuelEU Aviation and SAF mandates
  • Supply expansion depends on production capacity and infrastructure development
  • Sustainability certification affects eligibility and market value
Why it matters for decisions
  • Track renewable fuel price developments across transport markets
  • Assess demand from road, maritime, and aviation sectors
  • Monitor infrastructure and production capacity supporting market growth
  • Evaluate policy-driven demand for renewable transport fuels
Pricing and market data
  • Biomethane certificate prices and market quotations
  • Biomethane trades, auctions, and green premium indicators
  • Weekly averaged fuel prices across renewable and conventional fuels
  • Veyt BioLNG Index and maritime fuel cost indicators
Supply and infrastructure
  • European biomethane production and production potential
  • Biomethane installation database across European markets
  • Bio-LNG infrastructure and alternative fuel supply analytics
  • Maritime fuel infrastructure by facility type and project status
Demand and adoption
  • bioCNG and bioLNG filling station data
  • Maritime fleet and orderbook demand by vessel and fuel type
  • Global fuel demand from the vessel orderbook
  • Aviation fuel demand forecasts, including Bio-SAF demand
Policy and regulation
  • RED certification and biomethane market basics
  • Gas GO registry development and country-specific frameworks
  • FuelEU Maritime, EU ETS maritime, EEXI, CII, and AFIR
  • Country-specific compliance rules and national quota systems
Market forecasts and cost modelling
  • Biomethane production cost and value modelling
  • Fuel production cost and transport cost development
  • Maritime fuel cost inclusive of bunker, EU ETS, and FuelEU costs
  • Long-term fuel demand forecasts to 2050
Key market dynamics
  • Fuel cost competitiveness depends on bunker prices and emissions costs
  • EU ETS and FuelEU Maritime change relative fuel economics
  • Alternative fuel adoption depends on vessel orderbooks and infrastructure readiness
  • Bio-LNG, methanol, ammonia, hydrogen, LNG, HVO, FAME, and VLSFO carry different cost and compliance profiles
  • Long-term fuel demand varies by vessel type, regulation, and technology adoption
Why it matters for decisions
  • Compare maritime fuel costs including regulatory and emissions costs
  • Assess fuel availability and infrastructure readiness across regions
  • Monitor vessel adoption and orderbook demand by fuel type
  • Evaluate fuel-switching economics under EU and global maritime regulation
Pricing and forward curves
  • Short-, medium-, and long-term carbon price forecasts across carbon markets
  • Forecasts built bottom-up with drivers traceable from inputs to price outcomes
  • Fundamental and behavioural price modelling
Policy and reform analysis
  • Interpretation of evolving policy and regulatory debates
  • Analysis of policy and regulatory developments
  • Scenario viewer testing alternative policy design options
Supply-demand fundamentals
  • Proprietary models estimating carbon market supply-demand balance
  • Early-access power generation and emissions data supporting market forecasts
Used by
  • Risk Management & Hedging
  • Strategy & Investment
  • Valuation & Pricing
  • Policy Advocacy

Our customers

“I use Veyt to inform my view of renewable power and gas markets. It includes key insights on supply, demand, prices by region, and the latest regulatory updates—making it essential for portfolio management and trading.

Clarisse Martin | Green Portfolio Manager at Alpiq

Key drivers across fuels markets

Fuels markets are shaped by the interaction between production costs, regulatory value, infrastructure readiness, fuel demand, and certification frameworks
FuelEU Maritime changes the cost competitiveness of maritime fuels
EU ETS maritime adds emissions costs to conventional fuel use
RED certification affects renewable fuel eligibility and market access
National quota systems create demand for low-carbon fuel certificates
Bunker costs remain central to fuel-switching economics
EU ETS costs affect fossil fuel competitiveness in shipping
FuelEU costs and credits change relative fuel value
Production and transport costs shape long-term fuel economics
Biomethane production capacity determines physical supply potential
Installation growth affects future supply availability
Alternative fuel production determines maritime decarbonisation pathways
Infrastructure availability constrains fuel uptake across transport segments
Road transport demand is shaped by bioCNG and bioLNG infrastructure
Maritime fuel demand depends on fleet composition and vessel orderbooks
Aviation demand is shaped by SAF mandates and fuel availability
Sector-specific regulation changes demand timing and market value
Gas GO registries affect biomethane tradability and transparency
Sustainability certification influences eligibility across markets
Country-specific frameworks shape certificate value and compliance use
Cross-border recognition affects market liquidity and sourcing options
Vessel technology determines which fuels can be adopted
Bunkering infrastructure affects maritime fuel availability
Liquefaction, filling stations, and storage shape biomethane uptake
Project status indicates where future supply may emerge
Drivers
Tracking short- and long-term market trends to clarify current and potential impacts from disparate drivers
Market behaviour
Analysing participant behaviour and market sentiment while commenting on price drivers. An in-depth focus on industry sectors by understanding their marginal abatement costs and trade behaviour allows for informed decision-making. Our pan-European power market modelling is the backbone for our granular utility-sector insights and hedging strategy analysis
Policy developments
Following relevant European carbon and energy market legislation, providing foresight on political outcomes, and assessing market impacts
Supply & demand forecasts
Generating insights on how policy ambition and regulatory change shape short- and long-term supply dynamics. Addressing sensitivities of key assumptions for EU ETS market participants. Following sector-specific trends, production data, and decarbonisation pathways to track and forecast demand for carbon European Union allowances (EUAs)
Technical analysis
Identifying key trends in the market, spotting relevant support/resistance levels, and technical patterns
Market data
Key market data for the EU ETS and the wider energy complex. Prices, volume, open interest, seasonality charts to assess liquidity, and participant behaviour

How different teams use Veyt’s fuels market intelligence

Different teams use fuels market intelligence to support procurement, compliance, valuation, investment, and policy analysis.
Risk management & hedging
  • Monitor fuel price exposure across renewable and conventional fuels
  • Assess regulatory cost exposure under EU ETS and FuelEU Maritime
  • Track supply availability, infrastructure, and compliance risk
Strategy & investment
  • Evaluate long-term market development across biomethane and maritime fuels
  • Assess infrastructure readiness and future fuel availability
  • Monitor demand growth across road, maritime, and aviation sectors
Valuation & pricing
  • Build fuel price and certificate value assumptions
  • Compare production cost, transport cost, and regulatory cost components
  • Assess fuel-switching economics across compliance pathways
Policy advocacy
  • Monitor policy frameworks affecting renewable fuel demand
  • Assess impacts of RED, FuelEU Maritime, EU ETS, and national quotas
  • Use market evidence to support policy and regulatory engagement

Fuels intelligence platform — at a glance

The Veyt fuels intelligence platform combines fuel price data, supply analytics, infrastructure tracking, demand forecasts, policy analysis, and cost modelling into a single analytical workflow.

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Biomethane production map
Installation and registry data
Certificate prices and trades
Auctions and certificate values
Maritime fuel supply map
Alternative fuel infrastructure
Fuel cost comparison
EU ETS and FuelEU costs
Fleet and orderbook demand
Long-term fuel forecasts

What the platform provides

Standard capabilities

  • Biomethane pricing, trade, auction, and certificate data
  • Biomethane supply analytics covering production, potential, and installations
  • Maritime fuel cost modelling including bunker, EU ETS, and FuelEU impacts
  • Alternative fuel infrastructure tracking across maritime fuel markets
  • Demand forecasts across road transport, maritime, and aviation fuel markets

Additional capabilities

  • Gas GO registry and country-specific policy intelligence
  • BioCNG and bioLNG filling station data
  • Fleet observer and orderbook-based maritime fuel demand
  • Long-term global fuel demand forecasts to 2050
  • Biomethane production cost and value modelling
  • Fact sheets across maritime fuel and vessel types
  • Analyst updates, monthly reports, and quarterly reports

Who this is for

  • Market participants active in biomethane and renewable fuel markets
  • Shipping and maritime stakeholders assessing fuel compliance pathways
  • Investors and developers evaluating renewable fuel supply and infrastructure
Additional users
  • Energy suppliers and fuel producers
  • Traders, brokers, and intermediaries
  • Utilities and gas market participants
  • Maritime operators and fleet strategists
  • Corporate procurement and sustainability teams
  • Policy and regulatory affairs teams
  • Valuation, pricing, and risk teams

Latest analyst updates

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24. July, 2026
GGCS – RGGO demand continues strong run
Kevin Lim
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22. July, 2026
Contract for a Difference – inside the UK’s revenue certainty mechanism for SAF
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17. July, 2026
Irish biomethane payments: seven grants and one grumpy multiplier
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3. July, 2026
Webinar week: Veyt and EBA on biomethane financing and investment
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Article
24. June, 2026
From GOs to BPAs – SBTi V2.0 and biomethane implications
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19. June, 2026
EEG biomethane back on the menu?
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Article
11. June, 2026
A new spring for Italian BPAs?
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Article
27. May, 2026
Draft decree lays framework for non-transport obligation in Spain
Kevin Lim
Article
22. May, 2026
Commission to rethink green hydrogen rules. Hourly matching on the line?
Mary Polovtseva

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