European Carbon

Advanced market intelligence, price forecasts and analysis for navigating the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), UK Emissions Trading Scheme (UK ETS), and the upcoming EU ETS 2.

Europe’s carbon market, the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), is a key instrument in the EU’s efforts to achieve emissions reduction targets under the Fit-for-55 framework. Since its inception in 2005, the EU ETS has undergone significant reforms to address carbon leakage, enhance market stability, and integrate new mechanisms such as the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and the EU ETS 2, which expands emissions coverage to additional sectors.

At Veyt, our team of expert carbon market analysts and data scientists delivers real-time analytics and modelling tools designed to help market participants navigate the complexities of compliance carbon markets. Our European carbon market solutions provide in-depth data, analysis and forecasts of EU ETS, EU ETS 2,  UK ETS, and Global carbon credits.

Using proprietary modelling techniques, we deliver deep insights into market dynamics, policy developments, carbon prices and forecasts, helping clients to time trades, manage exposure, and make better strategic decisions.

Drivers
Tracking short- and long-term market trends to clarify current and potential impacts from disparate drivers
Market behaviour
Analysing participant behaviour and market sentiment while commenting on price drivers. An in-depth focus on industry sectors by understanding their marginal abatement costs and trade behaviour allows for informed decision-making. Our pan-European power market modelling is the backbone for our granular utility-sector insights and hedging strategy analysis
Policy developments
Following relevant European carbon and energy market legislation, providing foresight on political outcomes, and assessing market impacts
Supply & demand forecasts
Generating insights on how policy ambition and regulatory change shape short- and long-term supply dynamics. Addressing sensitivities of key assumptions for EU ETS market participants. Following sector-specific trends, production data, and decarbonisation pathways to track and forecast demand for carbon European Union allowances (EUAs)
Technical analysis
Identifying key trends in the market, spotting relevant support/resistance levels, and technical patterns
Market data
Key market data for the EU ETS and the wider energy complex. Prices, volume, open interest, seasonality charts to assess liquidity, and participant behaviour

EU ETS Market Stability Reserve: flexibility for the future

The whitepaper explains how the MSR shapes prices and supply, and what the 2025 review means for compliance and investment decisions. 

Using proprietary modelling, it shows how a dynamic release mechanism and REPowerEU adjustments can reduce volatility, mitigate scarcity risks, and strengthen EU ETS stability. 
Published October 2025.

EU ETS Weekly price drivers

Sign up to receive a complementary weekly updates focused exclusively on EU ETS price drivers and market signals. 

Prepared by Veyt’s carbon analysts, each edition highlights the developments that mattered most over the past week and outlines the key factors that could influence price direction in the period ahead. The aim is to provide a clear, independent reference that helps you calibrate your own market view. 

In-depth data, analysis and forecasts

Gain access to comprehensive qualitative and quantitative market intelligence tailored to your requirements. 

Example chart of EUA price forecast. Request a demo to access premium insights and platform features.
Example chart of EUA Futures. Request a demo to access premium insights and platform features.
Example chart of EUA Open Interest Seasonality. Request a demo to access premium insights and platform features.
Example chart of EUA volatility. Request a demo to access premium insights and platform features.
Example chart of EUA - UKA correlation. Request a demo to access premium insights and platform features.

Key market drivers

We analyse both short- and long-term market drivers, including regulatory changes, EU ETS price forecasts, and sector-specific trends. Our insights clarify the impacts of these factors, enabling stakeholders to align strategies with evolving market conditions.
Drivers

We track both short- and long-term trends, analysing carbon market drivers like regulatory changes, EU ETS carbon price forecasts, and sector-specific developments.

Market behaviour

Our pan-European power market modelling underpins strategies for hedging and risk management, delivering actionable intelligence on key sectors and carbon credit markets.

Policy developments

Our team tracks the latest European carbon market legislation, offering foresight on potential political outcomes and their implications for the EU ETS.

Supply & demand forecasts

We generate forecasts based on EU carbon price data, regulatory changes, and production trends. These insights help clients assess the supply dynamics of European Union allowances (EUAs), tracking decarbonisation pathways and sensitivities to policy shifts.

Technical analysis

Our technical analysis highlights key market trends, identifies support and resistance levels, and examines seasonality patterns. With advanced tools, we provide clarity on price drivers and the broader carbon and energy markets.

Market data
Veyt’s comprehensive market data includes EU ETS allowances, volume trends, and detailed emissions trading statistics. Our liquidity analysis and participant behaviour metrics offer a complete view of the EU carbon market, enabling precise decision-making.

Drivers

We track both short- and long-term trends, analysing carbon market drivers like regulatory changes, EU ETS carbon price forecasts, and sector-specific developments.

Market behaviour

Our pan-European power market modelling underpins strategies for hedging and risk management, delivering actionable intelligence on key sectors and carbon credit markets.

Policy developments

Our team tracks the latest European carbon market legislation, offering foresight on potential political outcomes and their implications for the EU ETS.

Supply & demand forecasts

We generate forecasts based on EU carbon price data, regulatory changes, and production trends. These insights help clients assess the supply dynamics of European Union allowances (EUAs), tracking decarbonisation pathways and sensitivities to policy shifts.

Technical analysis

Our technical analysis highlights key market trends, identifies support and resistance levels, and examines seasonality patterns. With advanced tools, we provide clarity on price drivers and the broader carbon and energy markets.

Market data

Our comprehensive market data includes EU ETS carbon credit futures, volume trends, and detailed emissions trading statistics.

A world-class team of analysts

At Veyt, our renowned analysts provide trusted guidance and cutting-edge insights across the EU carbon markets and voluntary carbon markets. With expertise spanning emissions reduction, carbon pricing, and market mechanisms like the EU ETS, we offer unmatched support to help clients navigate this dynamic landscape.

Related reading

Navigate European Carbon markets with data-driven insights

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