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Valuation & pricing

EAC market intelligence for valuation and pricing

Set certificate price assumptions, test market scenarios, and evaluate long-term value across Energy Attribute Certificate (EAC) markets.

Veyt helps valuation and pricing teams connect certificate prices to issuance, cancellations, market balance, policy developments, and future demand across European GOs, UK REGOs, and international EAC markets.

In-depth coverage of
  • European GOs
  • UK REGOs
  • International EAC markets
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Insight to guide strategy, investment and growth

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Price intelligence for accurate market valuation

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Policy insight to support market positioning

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Decision inputs valuation and pricing teams rely on

Valuation and pricing teams need consistent inputs that explain how certificate prices may evolve across technologies, vintages, geographies, and time horizons.

Certificate price assumptions

  • Set price assumptions across GO, REGO, and international EAC markets
  • Compare pricing across technologies, vintages, and geographies
  • Benchmark assumptions against observed market pricing and forecast developments

Market balance forecasts

  • Assess future issuance and cancellation balance across certificate markets
  • Evaluate expected surplus or scarcity across time horizons
  • Compare market balance assumptions across countries and technologies

Issuance and cancellation projections

  • Track future certificate supply from renewable generation growth
  • Monitor cancellation demand across voluntary and compliance-driven markets
  • Use issuance and cancellation forecasts to validate price assumptions

Willingness-to-pay assumptions

  • Assess how buyer demand affects long-term certificate pricing
  • Compare willingness-to-pay assumptions across consumer segments
  • Evaluate how demand shifts affect future price trajectories

Policy and disclosure developments

  • Monitor regulatory changes affecting certificate eligibility and demand
  • Assess how disclosure requirements influence cancellation behaviour
  • Reflect market rule changes in pricing and valuation assumptions

Scenario-based outlooks

  • Compare price outcomes under different market and policy scenarios
  • Test assumptions across weather years and market development pathways
  • Assess valuation sensitivity to future market balance changes

Why EAC price assumptions are difficult to defend

EAC price assumptions depend on market balance, policy design, demand behaviour, and technology-specific supply. Valuation teams need to show how assumptions connect to underlying market drivers, not only current pricing.

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Current prices do not explain long-term value
  • Market pricing reflects current liquidity and participant expectations
  • Long-term valuation requires market balance and demand assumptions
Certificate supply changes by technology and geography
  • Renewable generation growth affects certificate availability
  • Technology mix influences pricing across certificate categories
Demand is driven by different buyer motivations
  • Supplier obligations and corporate procurement affect cancellation demand
  • Buyer willingness-to-pay varies across sectors and sourcing strategies
Market rules affect certificate value
  • Disclosure frameworks influence demand timing and certificate eligibility
  • Policy changes can alter pricing assumptions across markets
Scenario ranges matter more than single-point forecasts
  • Market balance changes under different demand and supply assumptions
  • Valuation models need ranges that reflect policy and market uncertainty
Drivers
Tracking short- and long-term market trends to clarify current and potential impacts from disparate drivers
Market behaviour
Analysing participant behaviour and market sentiment while commenting on price drivers. An in-depth focus on industry sectors by understanding their marginal abatement costs and trade behaviour allows for informed decision-making. Our pan-European power market modelling is the backbone for our granular utility-sector insights and hedging strategy analysis
Policy developments
Following relevant European carbon and energy market legislation, providing foresight on political outcomes, and assessing market impacts
Supply & demand forecasts
Generating insights on how policy ambition and regulatory change shape short- and long-term supply dynamics. Addressing sensitivities of key assumptions for EU ETS market participants. Following sector-specific trends, production data, and decarbonisation pathways to track and forecast demand for carbon European Union allowances (EUAs)
Technical analysis
Identifying key trends in the market, spotting relevant support/resistance levels, and technical patterns
Market data
Key market data for the EU ETS and the wider energy complex. Prices, volume, open interest, seasonality charts to assess liquidity, and participant behaviour

Key EAC market drivers valuation teams monitor

EAC valuation depends on how certificate supply, demand, policy rules, and long-term electricity trends affect future pricing.

Issuance and cancellations determine structural market balance
Expected surplus or scarcity influences long-term certificate prices
Market balance differs across GO, REGO, and international systems
Renewable buildout drives future certificate issuance
Weather conditions affect generation and certificate availability
Technology mix shapes certificate supply across markets
Cancellation activity shows realised certificate demand
Corporate procurement targets support voluntary demand
Supplier obligations influence demand across compliance periods
Disclosure rules affect cancellation timing and certificate eligibility
Market design changes can shift demand between certificate types
Regulatory developments influence future pricing assumptions
Buyer willingness-to-pay affects long-term price expectations
Sector demand influences future certificate value
Changes in procurement behaviour alter pricing assumptions
Electrification increases demand for renewable electricity
Renewable hydrogen may increase future certificate demand
Decarbonisation pathways shape long-term market balance

How valuation and pricing teams use Veyt

Veyt brings market pricing, supply-demand modelling, policy analysis, and forecasts into one workflow for building and testing certificate price assumptions.

Price assumption setting
  • Build certificate price assumptions using market data and forecasts
  • Compare assumptions across technologies, vintages, and geographies
  • Align pricing inputs with expected market balance developments
Scenario-based valuation
  • Test price assumptions under alternative market and policy scenarios
  • Compare outcomes across weather years and demand pathways
  • Assess valuation sensitivity to changing certificate availability
Benchmarking and validation
  • Benchmark internal assumptions against observed market pricing
  • Compare internal models with Veyt market outlooks
  • Validate pricing assumptions using issuance and cancellation forecasts
Long-term pricing analysis
  • Assess how renewable buildout affects future certificate supply
  • Evaluate willingness-to-pay assumptions across consumer segments
  • Monitor long-term price trajectories across certificate markets
Cross-market consistency
  • Align assumptions across GO, REGO, and international EAC markets
  • Compare market structures and liquidity across certificate systems
  • Apply consistent pricing logic across internal valuation workflows

Customisable views for valuation and pricing workflows

Valuation and pricing teams focus on different inputs depending on geography, technology, contract exposure, and time horizon.
Valuation teams
  • Build certificate price assumptions across relevant markets
  • Assess valuation sensitivity to market balance changes
  • Compare assumptions across technologies, vintages, and geographies
Pricing teams
  • Benchmark pricing against market data and forecast developments
  • Monitor spreads between production years and certificate categories
  • Assess pricing implications of liquidity and market activity
Investment teams
  • Use long-term EAC price outlooks in investment assumptions
  • Evaluate certificate market exposure across renewable assets
  • Assess future demand signals affecting project economics
Strategy and scenario teams
  • Compare market outcomes under alternative policy scenarios
  • Test assumptions across weather years and market pathways
  • Assess long-term supply-demand developments across certificate markets
Quantitative and modelling teams
  • Integrate structured EAC datasets into internal valuation models
  • Use issuance, cancellation, pricing, and forecast data as model inputs
  • Compare internal scenarios with Veyt market outlooks

EAC intelligence platform — At a glance

The Veyt EAC intelligence platform combines market data, forecasts, and analyst interpretation into a single analytical workflow.
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Market balance forecasts
Issuance and cancellation outlooks
Long-term market outlooks
Country market analysis
Interactive pricing visuals
Policy and disclosure frameworks
Multi-term market forecasts
Analyst market commentary

What the platform provides

Standard capabilities

  • Certificate pricing data across technologies, vintages, and geographies
  • Supply-demand modelling using issuance and cancellation developments
  • Short-, medium-, and long-term EAC market forecasts
  • Scenario analysis across policy, market, and weather assumptions
  • Willingness-to-pay assumptions supporting long-term price analysis

Additional capabilities

  • Historical certificate pricing and market activity
  • Forecast development across technologies, vintages, and countries
  • Long-term price and volume outlooks
  • Country-specific market intelligence across EAC systems
  • Analyst updates and market reports
  • Structured datasets supporting internal valuation and pricing workflows

Who this is for

  • Valuation teams setting certificate price assumptions
  • Pricing teams benchmarking EAC market assumptions
  • Investment teams evaluating renewable certificate exposure
Additional users
  • Strategy and scenario teams
  • Quantitative and modelling teams
  • Utilities and energy suppliers
  • Renewable developers and investors

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