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Inclusion in the EU ETS will have a large effect on maritime stakeholders. Both shipowners and national administrations will need to move quickly to be ready for the new rules to apply from January 2024. For shipowners, the additional operational cost of around €95 per tonne of CO2 will represent a substantial competitive advantage for low-emission vessels. As for the overall ETS market balance, the scope expansion will entail a modest tightening, and should logically be a slightly bullish factor for EUA prices. Some of the effect seems to have been priced in already, but we might expect more bullish pressure from 2026 onwards, as shipowners will then need to account for their full emissions.
Veyt specialises in data, analysis, and insights for all significant low-carbon markets and renewable energy.
