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Valuation & pricing

Fuels market intelligence for valuation and pricing

Build fuel price assumptions, assess certificate value, and compare regulatory cost impacts across biomethane and maritime fuel markets.

Veyt helps valuation and pricing teams connect fuel prices, certificate markets, production costs, transport costs, EU ETS costs, FuelEU impacts, and long-term demand assumptions.

In-depth coverage of
  • Biomethane
  • Biofuels
  • Bio-LNG
  • Maritime fuels
  • FuelEU Maritime
  • EU ETS maritime
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Biomethane, Transport fuels

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Insight to guide strategy, investment and growth

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Price intelligence for accurate market valuation

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Policy insight to support market positioning

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Pricing inputs valuation teams rely on

Valuation and pricing teams need traceable inputs that explain how fuel value changes across markets, regulation, and end-use sectors.

Biomethane prices and certificates

  • Track biomethane certificate prices, quotations, trades, and auctions
  • Compare green premium indicators across European markets
  • Assess certificate value by eligibility, sustainability, and end use

Fuel production cost

  • Assess biomethane production cost by plant and operation type
  • Compare fuel production cost development across fuel types
  • Use production costs to support long-term pricing assumptions

Transport and infrastructure cost

  • Compare fuel cost development including production and transport components
  • Assess infrastructure-related constraints on fuel availability
  • Evaluate how logistics affect delivered fuel economics

Maritime fuel cost components

  • Compare bunker cost, EU ETS cost, and FuelEU cost by fuel type
  • Assess relative fuel economics across conventional and alternative fuels
  • Monitor cost developments affecting fuel-switching decisions

Certificate and compliance value

  • Assess the value of renewable fuel certificates and compliance credits
  • Monitor policy-driven demand affecting certificate pricing
  • Compare end-use value across transport, maritime, and other markets

Long-term demand assumptions

  • Use demand forecasts to support price and value assumptions
  • Compare maritime fuel demand by vessel and fuel type
  • Assess how future demand affects fuel value and market balance

Why fuels price assumptions are difficult to defend

Fuel pricing depends on physical supply, certificate value, emissions costs, compliance credits, and infrastructure readiness. Valuation teams need to connect each price component to its underlying driver.

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Fuel value has several components
  • Biomethane value includes physical fuel and certificate components
  • Maritime fuel cost includes bunker, emissions, and compliance impacts
  • Production and transport costs affect long-term fuel economics
Certificate pricing is market-specific
  • Gas GO and biomethane certificate systems differ across countries
  • Eligibility and sustainability requirements affect certificate value
  • Registry development influences market transparency and tradability
Regulatory costs change relative value
  • EU ETS maritime increases cost exposure for fossil fuels
  • FuelEU Maritime changes the value of low-emission fuel options
  • National quota systems affect certificate demand and pricing
Long-term fuel pricing depends on adoption
  • Fleet and orderbook data shape future maritime demand assumptions
  • Infrastructure readiness affects achievable fuel uptake
  • Demand growth can change value before supply fully scales
Market data needs policy context
  • Trades and auctions show pricing but not full market logic
  • Compliance frameworks explain why fuel values diverge
  • Pricing assumptions need to reflect regulation and end-use demand

Key fuels market drivers valuation teams monitor

Fuel valuation is shaped by production costs, certificate markets, regulatory costs, infrastructure constraints, and demand development.
Production costs influence long-term renewable fuel value
Transport costs affect delivered fuel economics
Conventional fuel prices shape fuel-switching thresholds
Certificate prices reflect policy-driven demand and eligibility
Green premiums indicate value above fossil fuel alternatives
Sustainability certification affects market access and pricing
EU ETS costs affect fossil fuel competitiveness in shipping
FuelEU costs and credits change relative fuel value
National quota systems influence low-carbon fuel demand
Production capacity affects physical fuel availability
Infrastructure readiness constrains fuel adoption and delivered value
Project status changes confidence in future supply assumptions
Maritime demand depends on vessel adoption and orderbooks
Road transport demand depends on filling station networks
Aviation demand depends on SAF mandates and supply availability
RED certification affects renewable fuel eligibility
Gas GO registry development affects certificate liquidity
Country-specific rules influence end-use value and tradability
Drivers
Tracking short- and long-term market trends to clarify current and potential impacts from disparate drivers
Market behaviour
Analysing participant behaviour and market sentiment while commenting on price drivers. An in-depth focus on industry sectors by understanding their marginal abatement costs and trade behaviour allows for informed decision-making. Our pan-European power market modelling is the backbone for our granular utility-sector insights and hedging strategy analysis
Policy developments
Following relevant European carbon and energy market legislation, providing foresight on political outcomes, and assessing market impacts
Supply & demand forecasts
Generating insights on how policy ambition and regulatory change shape short- and long-term supply dynamics. Addressing sensitivities of key assumptions for EU ETS market participants. Following sector-specific trends, production data, and decarbonisation pathways to track and forecast demand for carbon European Union allowances (EUAs)
Technical analysis
Identifying key trends in the market, spotting relevant support/resistance levels, and technical patterns
Market data
Key market data for the EU ETS and the wider energy complex. Prices, volume, open interest, seasonality charts to assess liquidity, and participant behaviour

How valuation and pricing teams use Veyt

Veyt combines price data, certificate market intelligence, production cost modelling, compliance cost analysis, and demand forecasts into one pricing workflow.
Fuel price assumption setting
  • Build fuel price assumptions from market data and cost models
  • Compare renewable and conventional fuel cost developments
  • Track short- and long-term fuel value drivers
Certificate valuation
  • Monitor biomethane certificate prices, trades, and auctions
  • Assess green premium development across European markets
  • Compare certificate value across eligibility and end-use categories
Regulatory cost analysis
  • Compare maritime fuel costs including EU ETS and FuelEU components
  • Assess how compliance costs change relative fuel economics
  • Evaluate fuel-switching economics under policy-driven cost assumptions
Production and value modelling
  • Assess biomethane production cost and market value
  • Compare fuel production and transport cost development
  • Use cost modelling to support long-term valuation assumptions
Forecast and scenario review
  • Compare fuel demand forecasts across sectors and fuel types
  • Assess long-term fuel demand to 2050
  • Test assumptions against infrastructure and adoption constraints

Customisable views for valuation and pricing workflows

Valuation and pricing teams focus on different inputs depending on fuel type, end-use sector, geography, and compliance exposure.
Valuation teams
  • Build price assumptions across renewable and conventional fuels
  • Assess certificate, compliance, and production cost components
  • Compare fuel value across transport and maritime markets
Valuation teams
  • Build price assumptions across renewable and conventional fuels
  • Assess certificate, compliance, and production cost components
  • Compare fuel value across transport and maritime markets
Pricing teams
  • Track biomethane prices, quotations, trades, and auctions
  • Monitor maritime fuel cost components by fuel type
  • Compare green premiums and fuel-switching thresholds
Maritime commercial teams
  • Compare bunker, EU ETS, and FuelEU cost impacts
  • Assess alternative fuel economics across compliance pathways
  • Monitor fuel cost development across maritime fuel options
Biomethane market teams
  • Track certificate pricing, trades, auctions, and green premiums
  • Monitor production cost, market value, and country frameworks
  • Assess end-use value across transport, industry, and compliance markets
Modelling teams
  • Integrate fuel prices and cost components into internal models
  • Compare internal price assumptions with Veyt forecasts
  • Use structured datasets for fuel valuation workflows

Fuels intelligence platform — At a glance

The Veyt fuels intelligence platform combines fuel price data, certificate pricing, cost modelling, compliance cost analysis, and demand forecasts into a single valuation workflow.
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Biomethane production map
Installation and registry data
Certificate prices and trades
Auctions and certificate values
Maritime fuel supply map
Alternative fuel infrastructure
Fuel cost comparison
EU ETS and FuelEU costs
Fleet and orderbook demand
Long-term fuel forecasts

What the platform provides

Standard capabilities

  • Biomethane pricing, certificate, trade, and auction data
  • Biomethane production cost and value modelling
  • Maritime fuel cost analysis including bunker, EU ETS, and FuelEU impacts
  • Fuel production and transport cost development
  • Long-term demand forecasts across transport sectors and fuel types

Additional capabilities

  • Green premium and certificate value indicators
  • Weekly averaged fuel prices across renewable and conventional fuels
  • Veyt BioLNG Index and fuel market data
  • Gas GO registry and country-specific policy intelligence
  • Alternative fuel infrastructure and project status tracking
  • Analyst updates, monthly reports, and quarterly reports
  • Structured datasets supporting pricing and valuation workflows

Who this is for

  • Valuation teams building renewable fuel price assumptions
  • Pricing teams monitoring biomethane and maritime fuel economics
  • Maritime commercial teams comparing fuel-switching costs
Additional users
  • Biomethane market participants
  • Energy suppliers and fuel producers
  • Traders, brokers, and intermediaries
  • Shipping and fleet strategy teams
  • Risk and hedging teams
  • Modelling and scenario teams

Market intelligence

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