Fuels trading analytics

Trading signals fuels desks monitor

Fuels trading teams need decision-grade pricing and analytics to assess market value, manage exposure, and benchmark positions across renewable and conventional fuel markets.

Biomethane prices and certificates

Track biomethane GO price indices, quotations, trades, and auctions
Monitor green premium development across European biomethane markets
Compare certificate values by registry, vintage, feedstock, and end use

Renewable fuel prices

Monitor weekly averaged fuel prices across renewable and conventional fuels
Track Bio-LNG, renewable diesel, biodiesel, and biomethane price developments
Compare price signals across road, maritime, and aviation fuel markets

Maritime fuel indices and cost components

Monitor maritime fuel costs across LNG, VLSFO, HVO, FAME, and Bio-LNG
Break down bunker, EU ETS, and FuelEU cost components
Compare fuel-switching economics under changing compliance costs

Compliance spreads

Compare renewable fuel values against fossil alternatives
Track spreads driven by EU ETS, FuelEU Maritime, and national quota systems
Assess where compliance value changes the trading case

Market liquidity and transaction activity

Monitor trade data, bid-ask ranges, and auction outcomes
Assess market depth across fuel and certificate products
Use transaction evidence to benchmark valuation and mark-to-market assumptions

Policy-driven price signals

Track RED certification, gas GO registries, German THG, RTFCs, and FuelEU Maritime
Assess policy changes affecting certificate value and trading opportunities
Monitor regulatory developments that shift demand, eligibility, and price formation

Why fuels trading needs specialised analytics

Renewable fuels markets do not have one clean price signal. Trading teams need to connect price data, certificate systems, compliance value, fossil spreads, and policy design before taking or marking positions.

Price discovery is fragmented

Biomethane prices differ by market, registry, feedstock, and end use
Maritime fuel costs combine physical fuel, emissions, and compliance components
Price quotations require context from trades, auctions, and policy frameworks

Certificates carry tradable value

Biomethane GOs, RTFCs, and THG credits reflect policy-driven demand
Certificate value depends on eligibility, sustainability, and recognition rules
Registry development affects liquidity and cross-border tradability

Fossil spreads change the trading case

Renewable fuel value depends on spreads against fossil alternatives
EU ETS and FuelEU costs change relative fuel economics
Fuel-switching thresholds shift as bunker and carbon prices move

Market liquidity is uneven

Thin markets make pricing and mark-to-market assumptions harder to defend
Trade data improves confidence in observed market levels
Auction outcomes help identify value across products and vintages

Building internal coverage is costly

Renewable fuels require specialist policy, pricing, and market expertise
Trading teams need consistent data across fuels, certificates, and compliance costs
External intelligence can reduce reliance on ad hoc internal analysis

Key drivers across fuels markets

Fuels markets are shaped by the interaction between production costs, regulatory value, infrastructure readiness, fuel demand, and certification frameworks.

FuelEU Maritime changes the cost competitiveness of maritime fuels

EU ETS maritime adds emissions costs to conventional fuel use

RED certification affects renewable fuel eligibility and market access

National quota systems create demand for low-carbon fuel certificates

Bunker costs remain central to fuel-switching economics

EU ETS costs affect fossil fuel competitiveness in shipping

FuelEU costs and credits change relative fuel value

Production and transport costs shape long-term fuel economics

Biomethane production capacity determines physical supply potential

Installation growth affects future supply availability

Alternative fuel production determines maritime decarbonisation pathways

Infrastructure availability constrains fuel uptake across transport segments

Road transport demand is shaped by bioCNG and bioLNG infrastructure

Maritime fuel demand depends on fleet composition and vessel orderbooks

Aviation demand is shaped by SAF mandates and fuel availability

Sector-specific regulation changes demand timing and market value

Gas GO registries affect biomethane tradability and transparency

Sustainability certification influences eligibility across markets

Country-specific frameworks shape certificate value and compliance use

Cross-border recognition affects market liquidity and sourcing options

Vessel technology determines which fuels can be adopted

Bunkering infrastructure affects maritime fuel availability

Liquefaction, filling stations, and storage shape biomethane uptake

Project status indicates where future supply may emerge

Drivers

Tracking short- and long-term market trends to clarify current and potential impacts from disparate drivers

Market behaviour

Analysing participant behaviour and market sentiment while commenting on price drivers. An in-depth focus on industry sectors by understanding their marginal abatement costs and trade behaviour allows for informed decision-making. Our pan-European power market modelling is the backbone for our granular utility-sector insights and hedging strategy analysis

Policy developments

Following relevant European carbon and energy market legislation, providing foresight on political outcomes, and assessing market impacts

Supply & demand forecasts

Generating insights on how policy ambition and regulatory change shape short- and long-term supply dynamics. Addressing sensitivities of key assumptions for EU ETS market participants. Following sector-specific trends, production data, and decarbonisation pathways to track and forecast demand for carbon European Union allowances (EUAs)

Technical analysis

Identifying key trends in the market, spotting relevant support/resistance levels, and technical patterns

Market data

Key market data for the EU ETS and the wider energy complex. Prices, volume, open interest, seasonality charts to assess liquidity, and participant behaviour

How trading and analytics teams use Veyt

Veyt brings renewable fuel prices, certificate data, market analytics, policy intelligence, and compliance cost modelling into one workflow for trading desks.

Price discovery and benchmarking

Mark-to-market support

Spread and compliance cost analysis

Hedging and exposure analysis

Market opportunity identification

Customisable views for trading and analytics workflows

Trading and analytics teams need different market views depending on product exposure, geography, compliance framework, and internal workflow.

Trading desks

Originators

Market analysts

Hedging teams

Quantitative and data teams

Fuels intelligence platform — At a glance

The Veyt fuels intelligence platform combines price data, certificate intelligence, fuel cost modelling, policy analysis, and demand forecasts into a single trading and analytics workflow.

Biomethane production map

Installation and registry data

Certificate prices and trades

Auctions and certificate values

Maritime fuel supply map

Alternative fuel infrastructure

Fuel cost comparison

EU ETS and FuelEU costs

Fleet and orderbook demand

Long-term fuel forecasts

What the platform provides

Standard capabilities

Additional capabilities

Weekly averaged fuel prices across renewable and conventional fuels
Green premium and certificate value indicators
Biomethane production, potential, and installation data
BioCNG, bioLNG, and alternative fuel infrastructure tracking
Fleet observer and orderbook-based maritime fuel demand
Long-term fuel demand forecasts to 2050
Analyst updates, monthly reports, and quarterly reports
Structured datasets supporting trading, mark-to-market, and analytics workflows

Who this is for

Additional users

Intelligence platform

Data API

Resources

Newsletter

Industry

Net zero market solutions