EU Carbon

Real-time insights and advanced analytics for navigating the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), UK Emissions Trading Scheme (UK ETS), and the upcoming ETS2.

Forecasting the EU carbon market

Europe’s carbon market, the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), is a key instrument in the EU’s efforts to achieve emissions reduction targets under the Fit-for-55 framework. Since its inception in 2005, the EU ETS has undergone significant reforms to address carbon leakage, enhance market stability, and integrate new mechanisms such as the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and the forthcoming ETS2, which expands emissions coverage to additional sectors.

At Veyt, our team of expert carbon market analysts and data scientists delivers real-time analytics and modelling tools designed to help market participants navigate the complexities of compliance carbon markets. Our solutions provide in-depth historical and live market data, supporting businesses in understanding EU ETS mechanics, UK ETS developments, and the regulatory trajectory of ETS2.

Using proprietary modelling techniques, we offer deep insights into market participant behaviour, carbon pricing trends, and policy-driven market shifts. Our expertise spans EU Allowances (EUAs), UK Allowances (UKAs), and ETS2, ensuring our clients have the strategic intelligence needed to stay ahead of regulatory and market changes.

Drivers
Tracking short- and long-term market trends to clarify current and potential impacts from disparate drivers
Market behaviour
Analysing participant behaviour and market sentiment while commenting on price drivers. An in-depth focus on industry sectors by understanding their marginal abatement costs and trade behaviour allows for informed decision-making. Our pan-European power market modelling is the backbone for our granular utility-sector insights and hedging strategy analysis
Policy developments
Following relevant European carbon and energy market legislation, providing foresight on political outcomes, and assessing market impacts
Supply & demand forecasts
Generating insights on how policy ambition and regulatory change shape short- and long-term supply dynamics. Addressing sensitivities of key assumptions for EU ETS market participants. Following sector-specific trends, production data, and decarbonisation pathways to track and forecast demand for carbon European Union allowances (EUAs)
Technical analysis
Identifying key trends in the market, spotting relevant support/resistance levels, and technical patterns
Market data
Key market data for the EU ETS and the wider energy complex. Prices, volume, open interest, seasonality charts to assess liquidity, and participant behaviour

Key features

From scenario modelling to real-time data visualisation, our solutions empower market participants to stay ahead, mitigate risks, and seize opportunities in the dynamic carbon market.

Our scenario modelling tools provide an in-depth understanding of the EU ETS and its supply and demand dynamics. By analysing marginal abatement costs and identifying risks and opportunities, we enable businesses to forecast market conditions with confidence.

Our predictive analytics incorporate insights into agent behaviour, stakeholder strategies, and policy scenarios, creating visibility for 2030 and beyond. This is achieved through a detailed assessment of decarbonisation pathways, including the role of abatement technologies, and reflects a nuanced understanding of the EU carbon emissions regulation and evolving carbon removal certification frameworks.

Our timely reports offer insights into the key market drivers influencing the EU carbon price, including price volatility, policy developments, and market sentiment. Regular updates deliver actionable intelligence on EU carbon emissions trading, participant behaviour, and critical energy market trends.

Advanced technical analysis highlights support/resistance levels and tracks carbon price projections, empowering clients to anticipate and act on market shifts.

Our interactive dashboards provide granular insights into supply and demand forecasting across sectors and geographies. With scenario-based models, clients can evaluate risks and opportunities in the EU carbon credit market.

We offer detailed data on historical and projected emissions, free allocation trends, and auction outcomes. The dashboards also integrate insights into global carbon markets, making it easier to track trends and predict outcomes in related sectors.

Veyt’s comprehensive data offerings offer unparalleled insights into the carbon market. Our platform provides real-time and historical data on prices, trading volumes, fuel spreads, and correlations for ETS2 and UK ETS, empowering businesses to navigate the complexities of the EU emissions trading landscape. Whether tracking carbon pricing trends or analysing market stability, Veyt ensures you have the information needed to assess market dynamics effectively. By understanding the intricate relationships between carbon emissions, energy sources, and trading volumes, stakeholders can make data-driven decisions that support emissions reduction strategies and align with evolving climate action goals.

Leverage Veyt’s in-depth fundamental data to drive informed decision-making in the global carbon market. Our platform offers detailed insights into critical factors such as power generation, carbon dioxide emissions, maritime impacts, and weather patterns. By understanding these dynamics, businesses can anticipate market shifts and adapt their strategies to reduce exposure to carbon leakage and maximise opportunities in the EU ETS.

This robust dataset is designed to support compliance with Phase 11 regulations and mechanisms like the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism. Veyt’s tools help businesses align with policies to combat climate change, enhance their role in emissions reduction, and ensure long-term success in the ever-evolving EU carbon landscape.

The dashboard above showcases fictional data for demonstration purposes.
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Example chart of EUA price forecast.
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Example chart of EUA Futures.
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Example chart of EUA Open Interest Seasonality.
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Example chart of EUA volatility.
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Example chart of EUA - UKA correlation.
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Key market drivers

We analyse both short- and long-term market drivers, including regulatory changes, EU ETS price forecasts, and sector-specific trends. Our insights clarify the impacts of these factors, enabling stakeholders to align strategies with evolving market conditions.
Drivers

We track both short- and long-term trends, analysing carbon market drivers like regulatory changes, EU ETS carbon price forecasts, and sector-specific developments.

Market behaviour

Our pan-European power market modelling underpins strategies for hedging and risk management, delivering actionable intelligence on key sectors and carbon credit markets.

Policy developments

Our team tracks the latest European carbon market legislation, offering foresight on potential political outcomes and their implications for the EU ETS.

Supply & demand forecasts

We generate forecasts based on EU carbon price data, regulatory changes, and production trends. These insights help clients assess the supply dynamics of European Union allowances (EUAs), tracking decarbonisation pathways and sensitivities to policy shifts.

Technical analysis

Our technical analysis highlights key market trends, identifies support and resistance levels, and examines seasonality patterns. With advanced tools, we provide clarity on price drivers and the broader carbon and energy markets.

Market data
Veyt’s comprehensive market data includes EU ETS allowances, volume trends, and detailed emissions trading statistics. Our liquidity analysis and participant behaviour metrics offer a complete view of the EU carbon market, enabling precise decision-making.

Drivers

We track both short- and long-term trends, analysing carbon market drivers like regulatory changes, EU ETS carbon price forecasts, and sector-specific developments.

Market behaviour

Our pan-European power market modelling underpins strategies for hedging and risk management, delivering actionable intelligence on key sectors and carbon credit markets.

Policy developments

Our team tracks the latest European carbon market legislation, offering foresight on potential political outcomes and their implications for the EU ETS.

Supply & demand forecasts

We generate forecasts based on EU carbon price data, regulatory changes, and production trends. These insights help clients assess the supply dynamics of European Union allowances (EUAs), tracking decarbonisation pathways and sensitivities to policy shifts.

Technical analysis

Our technical analysis highlights key market trends, identifies support and resistance levels, and examines seasonality patterns. With advanced tools, we provide clarity on price drivers and the broader carbon and energy markets.

Market data

Our comprehensive market data includes EU ETS carbon credit futures, volume trends, and detailed emissions trading statistics.

A world-class team of analysts

At Veyt, our renowned analysts provide trusted guidance and cutting-edge insights across the EU carbon markets and voluntary carbon markets. With expertise spanning emissions reduction, carbon pricing, and market mechanisms like the EU ETS, we offer unmatched support to help clients navigate this dynamic landscape.

Related reading

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